Polynésie française — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Polynésie française
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | Others | Greens | RN and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polynésie française — 3ème circonscription | 50.5% | 42.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averagePolynésie française | 50.1%+0.4 | 39.9%+2.4 | 3.6%+0.7 | 6.3%−3.5 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+38.2 | 3.9%+38.3 | 0.4%+3.9 | 36.0%−33.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Mereana REID ABERLOT · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 8.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mereana REID ABERLOT Elected | Others | 12,483 | 42.7 |
| Pascale HAITI EPOUSE FLOSSE | LR and allies | 12,006 | 41.1 |
| Naumi MIHURAA | LR and allies | 3,230 | 11.1 |
| Jules HAUATA | Greens | 1,507 | 5.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Polynésie française — 1ere circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Polynésie française — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Wallis et Futuna — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Saint-Martin/Saint-Barthélemy — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Martinique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated