Polynésie française — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Polynésie française
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | Others | RN and allies | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polynésie française — 2ème circonscription | 47.7% | 41.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Provincial averagePolynésie française | 50.1%−2.4 | 39.9%+1.9 | 6.3%+1.0 | 3.6%−0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+35.4 | 3.9%+37.8 | 36.0%−28.7 | 0.4%+2.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nicole SANQUER · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 5.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole SANQUER Elected | LR and allies | 12,986 | 49.1 |
| Steve CHAILLOUX | Others | 11,162 | 42.2 |
| Tutu TETUANUI | RN and allies | 1,240 | 4.7 |
| Tati SALMON | Greens | 1,047 | 4.0 |
| Jules Tehuiarii TARA | LR and allies | 19 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Polynésie française — 1ere circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Polynésie française — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Wallis et Futuna — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Saint-Martin/Saint-Barthélemy — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Martinique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated