Wallis et Futuna — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Wallis et Futuna
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 47.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallis et Futuna — 1ère circonscription | 71.3% | 23.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageWallis et Futuna | 71.3% | 23.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+54.2 | 12.2%+11.5 | 36.0%−33.0 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Mikaele SEO · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 47.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikaele SEO Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,281 | 62.3 |
| Lavinia KANIMOA NÉE TAGANE | LR and allies | 1,248 | 18.2 |
| Lauriane TIALETAGI EPOUSE VERGE | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,028 | 15.0 |
| Otilone TOKOTUU | LR and allies | 320 | 4.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Polynésie française — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Polynésie française — 1ere circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Polynésie française — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Saint-Martin/Saint-Barthélemy — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated