Mayotte — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Mayotte
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 75% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.5 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 49%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayotte — 2ème circonscription | 38.9% | 30.5% | 26.3% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageMayotte | 21.8%+17.1 | 60.1%−29.6 | 13.1%+13.1 | 2.2%+0.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+3.0 | 12.2%+18.3 | 17.0%+9.3 | 3.9%−1.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Anchya BAMANA · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 8.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anchya BAMANA Elected | RN and allies | 7,933 | 35.4 |
| Mansour KAMARDINE | LR and allies | 6,226 | 27.8 |
| Soula SAÏD-SOUFFOU | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,560 | 15.9 |
| Madi-Boinamani MADI MARI | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,470 | 15.5 |
| Kira Bacar ADACOLO | Left (NFP) | 552 | 2.5 |
| Daniel Martial HENRY | LR and allies | 369 | 1.7 |
| Manon MORENO | RN and allies | 164 | 0.7 |
| Ahumad SALIME | Others | 122 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Mayotte — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- La Réunion — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- La Réunion — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated