La Réunion — 7ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · La Réunion

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.0 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
La Réunion — 7ème circonscription	39.5%	29.6%	17.0%	8.7%
Provincial averageLa Réunion	42.4%−2.9	31.2%−1.6	4.2%+12.8	14.5%−5.9
National averageFrance	29.0%+10.5	36.0%−6.4	17.0%	12.2%−3.6

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Perceval GAILLARD · Left (NFP)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 10.0 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Perceval GAILLARD Elected	Left (NFP)	14,851	29.6
Jean-Luc POUDROUX	RN and allies	12,853	25.6
Thierry ROBERT	Centre (Ensemble)	11,083	22.1
Cyrille HAMILCARO	LR and allies	3,754	7.5
Karim JUHOOR	Left (NFP)	2,854	5.7
Isaline TRONC	Left (NFP)	2,651	5.3
Jean-Luc PAYET	Far left	724	1.4
Nathalie DE BOISVILLIERS	RN and allies	551	1.1
Richelain CATHERINE	Others	479	1.0
Sandrine MOUKINE	Sovereignists	461	0.9

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.