Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

La Réunion — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · La Réunion

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 53.7%
  • RN and allies 30.5%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 6.7%
  • LR and allies 5.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
La Réunion — 6ème circonscription 53.7%30.5%6.7%5.9%
Provincial averageLa Réunion 42.4%+11.3 31.2%−0.7 4.2%+2.5 14.5%−8.7
National averageFrance 29.0%+24.7 36.0%−5.5 17.0%−10.3 12.2%−6.4

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Frédéric MAILLOT · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 23.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Frédéric MAILLOT Elected Left (NFP) 10,818 29.8
Valérie LEGROS RN and allies 9,790 26.9
Alexandre LAÏ-KANE-CHEONG Left (NFP) 9,083 25.0
Nadia RAMASSAMY Centre (Ensemble) 3,667 10.1
Mario LECHAT LR and allies 1,688 4.6
Johny ADEKALOM Centre (Ensemble) 581 1.6
Didier LOMBARD Far left 475 1.3
Marie Christine POUNIA RN and allies 250 0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated