La Réunion — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · La Réunion
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Réunion — 5ème circonscription | 50.0% | 33.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageLa Réunion | 42.4%+7.5 | 31.2%+2.6 | 4.2%+1.4 | 5.0%+0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+21.0 | 36.0%−2.2 | 17.0%−11.5 | 3.9%+1.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Hugues RATENON · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 16.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Hugues RATENON Elected | Left (NFP) | 11,536 | 33.2 |
| Joan DORO | RN and allies | 10,456 | 30.1 |
| Anne CHANE-KAYE-BONE | Left (NFP) | 5,757 | 16.6 |
| Léopoldine SETTAMA-VIDON | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,655 | 10.5 |
| Jean Yves PAYET | Far left | 989 | 2.8 |
| Jérémy LAUP | Others | 800 | 2.3 |
| Alexandrine DUCHEMANE ARAYE | Left (NFP) | 443 | 1.3 |
| Jean Dominique RAMASSAMY | LR and allies | 413 | 1.2 |
| Dominique SAUTRON | RN and allies | 300 | 0.9 |
| Lydia PICARD | Others | 287 | 0.8 |
| Jean Paul LIMBE | Others | 132 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- La Réunion — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- La Réunion — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- La Réunion — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- La Réunion — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated