La Réunion — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · La Réunion
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 87% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 27%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Réunion — 3ème circonscription | 37.5% | 32.4% | 26.6% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageLa Réunion | 31.2%+6.3 | 14.5%+17.8 | 42.4%−15.8 | 5.0%−3.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.5 | 12.2%+20.1 | 29.0%−2.4 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Joseph RIVIERE · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 5.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph RIVIERE Elected | RN and allies | 13,360 | 31.6 |
| Alexis CHAUSSALET | Left (NFP) | 10,076 | 23.8 |
| Nathalie BASSIRE | LR and allies | 9,718 | 23.0 |
| Monique BENARD | LR and allies | 4,207 | 9.9 |
| Jean Jacques VLODY | Left (NFP) | 2,121 | 5.0 |
| Didier HOAREAU | RN and allies | 2,083 | 4.9 |
| Nicolas LEGENTIL | Far left | 540 | 1.3 |
| Jean-Eric THEINE | Sovereignists | 229 | 0.5 |
| Antoine FONTAINE | Others | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- La Réunion — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- La Réunion — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated