La Réunion — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · La Réunion
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Others | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Réunion — 2ème circonscription | 44.5% | 24.9% | 18.3% | 9.3% |
| Provincial averageLa Réunion | 42.4%+2.1 | 31.2%−6.3 | 5.0%+13.3 | 14.5%−5.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+15.5 | 36.0%−11.1 | 3.9%+14.3 | 12.2%−2.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Karine LEBON · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 19.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karine LEBON Elected | Left (NFP) | 19,068 | 47.7 |
| Christelle BEGUE | RN and allies | 8,513 | 21.3 |
| Erick FONTAINE | Others | 6,406 | 16.0 |
| Jean-Yves MOREL | LR and allies | 3,415 | 8.5 |
| Claude MOUTOUALLAGUIN | RN and allies | 750 | 1.9 |
| Alix MERA | Sovereignists | 699 | 1.7 |
| Nelly ACTIF | Far left | 617 | 1.5 |
| Fabienne FALDON | Others | 489 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- La Réunion — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- La Réunion — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- La Réunion — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- La Réunion — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated