Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon — Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon
Legislative constituency · Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon — Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon | 43.2% | 42.0% | 12.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSaint-Pierre-et-Miquelon | 43.2% | 42.0% | 12.9% | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+14.1 | 12.2%+29.8 | 36.0%−23.1 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Stéphane LENORMAND · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 1.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane LENORMAND Elected | LR and allies | 1,184 | 43.1 |
| Frédéric BEAUMONT | Left (NFP) | 464 | 16.9 |
| Marion LETOURNEL | Left (NFP) | 409 | 14.9 |
| Patrick LEBAILLY | Left (NFP) | 400 | 14.6 |
| Patricia CHAGNON | RN and allies | 291 | 10.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Saint-Martin/Saint-Barthélemy — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Guadeloupe — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Martinique — 2ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Forecast updated