Essonne — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Essonne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 58% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.2 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 77%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essonne — 3ème circonscription | 37.2% | 30.0% | 24.8% | 5.7% |
| Provincial averageEssonne | 28.2%+9.0 | 37.4%−7.4 | 15.9%+8.9 | 5.8% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.2 | 29.0%+1.0 | 17.0%+7.8 | 3.9%+1.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Steevy GUSTAVE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 7.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan MILOSEVIC | RN and allies | 22,290 | 33.0 |
| Steevy GUSTAVE Elected | Left (NFP) | 20,874 | 30.9 |
| Alexis IZARD | Centre (Ensemble) | 20,189 | 29.9 |
| Catherine BOMPARD | Others | 2,453 | 3.6 |
| Denis TRANIER | RN and allies | 925 | 1.4 |
| Joëlle LOPÈS-VENOT | Far left | 713 | 1.1 |
| Salvador RIBEIRO | Others | 82 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Essonne — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Essonne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Essonne — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Essonne — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Yvelines — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Essonne — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated