Vendée — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vendée
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 74% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 52%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vendée — 5ème circonscription | 40.7% | 29.7% | 19.3% | 5.9% |
| Provincial averageVendée | 36.2%+4.4 | 28.6%+1.1 | 19.5%−0.2 | 11.7%−5.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.7 | 17.0%+12.7 | 29.0%−9.8 | 12.2%−6.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Pierre HENRIET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane BUFFETAUT | RN and allies | 21,309 | 37.9 |
| Pierre HENRIET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,606 | 34.8 |
| Pierre-Hugues FOURAGE | Left (NFP) | 11,321 | 20.1 |
| Marius GALAND | LR and allies | 2,633 | 4.7 |
| Sonia LE THEIX | Sovereignists | 742 | 1.3 |
| Béatrice RUAULT | Far left | 659 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vendée — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Vendée — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated