Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Charente-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 97% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 5%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription | 37.3% | 26.1% | 20.3% | 13.5% |
| Provincial averageCharente-Maritime | 40.2%−3.0 | 32.6%−6.5 | 18.7%+1.6 | 5.3%+8.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.3 | 29.0%−3.0 | 17.0%+3.3 | 12.2%+1.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Benoît BITEAU · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karen BERTHOLOM | RN and allies | 26,862 | 34.4 |
| Benoît BITEAU Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,027 | 26.9 |
| Anne-Laure BABAULT | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,773 | 25.3 |
| Hervé BLANCHÉ | LR and allies | 9,651 | 12.4 |
| Frédéric CASTELLO | Far left | 749 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vendée — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Vendée — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated