Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Charente-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription | 46.6% | 27.7% | 21.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageCharente-Maritime | 40.2%+6.4 | 18.7%+8.9 | 32.6%−11.3 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.6 | 17.0%+10.6 | 29.0%−7.7 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christophe PLASSARD · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aymeric MONGELOUS | RN and allies | 36,296 | 43.8 |
| Christophe PLASSARD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 27,124 | 32.8 |
| Anne BRACHET | Left (NFP) | 18,344 | 22.1 |
| Danièle CASSETTE | Far left | 1,051 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vendée — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Vendée — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated