Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Charente-Maritime
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription | 43.7% | 28.2% | 22.8% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageCharente-Maritime | 40.2%+3.4 | 32.6%−4.3 | 18.7%+4.1 | 1.1%+0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.7 | 29.0%−0.8 | 17.0%+5.8 | 1.1%+1.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Fabrice BARUSSEAU · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane MORIN | RN and allies | 22,759 | 40.9 |
| Fabrice BARUSSEAU Elected | Left (NFP) | 15,637 | 28.1 |
| Jean-Philippe ARDOUIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,536 | 27.9 |
| Anne-Catherine GODDE | Far left | 1,196 | 2.2 |
| Gérald DAHAN-BERTHELOT | Left (NFP) | 587 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Charente-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription Greens, safe seat
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Charente — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated