Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Charente — 1ère circonscription

Legislative constituency · Charente

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the united left a 56% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.4 points.

Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 84%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 34.3%
  • Left (NFP) 31.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.2%
  • LR and allies 5.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Charente — 1ère circonscription 34.3%31.9%25.2%5.2%
Provincial averageCharente 41.9%−7.6 25.5%+6.4 22.4%+2.8 6.8%−1.5
National averageFrance 36.0%−1.7 29.0%+2.9 17.0%+8.2 12.2%−7.0

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

René PILATO · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the united left ahead by 2.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
René PILATO Elected Left (NFP) 18,166 32.8
Thomas MESNIER Centre (Ensemble) 16,784 30.3
Marion LATUS RN and allies 16,761 30.3
Alain BOIVIN LR and allies 2,226 4.0
Olivier NICOLAS Far left 818 1.5
Doraline BERNARD RN and allies 633 1.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated