Charente — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Charente
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charente — 2ème circonscription | 44.2% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 10.0% |
| Provincial averageCharente | 41.9%+2.3 | 22.4%+0.1 | 25.5%−5.9 | 6.8%+3.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.2 | 17.0%+5.4 | 29.0%−9.4 | 12.2%−2.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sandra MARSAUD · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barthélemy MARTIN | RN and allies | 21,440 | 38.9 |
| Sandra MARSAUD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,091 | 27.4 |
| Carole BALLU | Left (NFP) | 11,208 | 20.3 |
| Didier JOBIT | LR and allies | 4,829 | 8.8 |
| Françoise BESSAS | Far left | 832 | 1.5 |
| Alain Gérard JANOT | RN and allies | 737 | 1.3 |
| Aurore DE CLISSON | RN and allies | 509 | 0.9 |
| Corentin VINSONNEAU | Greens | 457 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Charente — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Charente — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Dordogne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated