Gironde — 11ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 34.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 11ème circonscription | 56.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 36.0%+20.1 | 32.7%−11.6 | 24.0%−6.5 | 1.1%+0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+20.1 | 29.0%−7.9 | 17.0%+0.5 | 1.1%+0.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Edwige DIAZ · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 34.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwige DIAZ Elected | RN and allies | 34,590 | 53.3 |
| Véronique HAMMERER | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,619 | 22.5 |
| Cécilia FONSECA | Left (NFP) | 14,287 | 22.0 |
| Zina AHMIMOU | Far left | 1,359 | 2.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Charente-Maritime — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 10ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated