Gironde — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 10ème circonscription | 46.6% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 36.0%+10.6 | 24.0%+0.8 | 32.7%−9.3 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.6 | 17.0%+7.9 | 29.0%−5.6 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Florent BOUDIÉ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine CHADOURNE | RN and allies | 25,037 | 43.8 |
| Florent BOUDIÉ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,128 | 30.0 |
| Pascal BOURGOIS | Left (NFP) | 13,885 | 24.3 |
| Hélène HALBIN | Far left | 1,117 | 2.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated