Gironde — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 2ème circonscription | 48.4% | 24.0% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 32.7%+15.7 | 24.0% | 36.0%−19.0 | 3.7%+4.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+19.4 | 17.0%+7.0 | 36.0%−19.0 | 12.2%−4.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nicolas THIERRY · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 24.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas THIERRY Elected | Left (NFP) | 26,547 | 49.5 |
| Véronique JURAMY | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,610 | 29.1 |
| Flavie FOURNIER | RN and allies | 7,510 | 14.0 |
| Christine ERRERA | LR and allies | 3,692 | 6.9 |
| Guy DUPONT | Far left | 307 | 0.6 |
| Yanis IVA | RN and allies | 20 | 0.0 |
| David PIJOAN | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Gironde — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated