Gironde — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 83% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.2 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 28%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 6ème circonscription | 34.5% | 31.3% | 28.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 32.7%+1.8 | 36.0%−4.7 | 24.0%+4.9 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+5.5 | 36.0%−4.7 | 17.0%+11.9 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Marie RECALDE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 3.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marie RECALDE Elected | Left (NFP) | 27,564 | 35.2 |
| Eric POULLIAT | Centre (Ensemble) | 25,636 | 32.8 |
| Jimmy BOURLIEUX | RN and allies | 21,174 | 27.1 |
| Joanthan FLORIT | Greens | 1,387 | 1.8 |
| Nicole DESTOUESSE | RN and allies | 929 | 1.2 |
| Franck BONHOMME | Centre (Ensemble) | 847 | 1.1 |
| Guillaume PERCHET | Far left | 673 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated