Gironde — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 4%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 7ème circonscription | 37.8% | 29.5% | 26.5% | 2.2% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 32.7%+5.0 | 24.0%+5.5 | 36.0%−9.5 | 0.3%+1.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+8.7 | 17.0%+12.5 | 36.0%−9.5 | 0.4%+1.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sébastien SAINT-PASTEUR · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 8.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sébastien SAINT-PASTEUR Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,913 | 38.5 |
| Bérangère COUILLARD | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,854 | 33.1 |
| Clémence NAVEYS--DUMAS | RN and allies | 12,766 | 22.4 |
| Ousmane THIAM | Greens | 1,597 | 2.8 |
| Christelle COTTON | Centre (Ensemble) | 760 | 1.3 |
| Dominique DE WITTE | RN and allies | 589 | 1.0 |
| Monique ORATTO | Far left | 442 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Gironde — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated