Gironde — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 3ème circonscription | 49.3% | 23.6% | 22.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 32.7%+16.6 | 36.0%−12.4 | 24.0%−1.3 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+20.3 | 36.0%−12.4 | 17.0%+5.7 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Loïc PRUD'HOMME · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 25.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loïc PRUD'HOMME Elected | Left (NFP) | 30,664 | 49.8 |
| Ariane ARY | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,080 | 27.8 |
| Maryvonne BASTERES | RN and allies | 12,037 | 19.6 |
| Cyrille DOUMENGE | RN and allies | 679 | 1.1 |
| Jacques GULDNER | Far left | 572 | 0.9 |
| Flora SAVINO | Left (NFP) | 305 | 0.5 |
| Nathan MINVIELLE-LARROUSSE | Far left | 196 | 0.3 |
| Johan GIRAUD-GIRARD | Others | 4 | 0.0 |
| Yacine TOUZANI | Others | 2 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Gironde — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Gironde — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated