Gironde — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 8%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 9ème circonscription | 43.0% | 27.0% | 24.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 36.0%+7.0 | 32.7%−5.7 | 24.0%+0.9 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.0 | 29.0%−2.0 | 17.0%+7.9 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sophie METTE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 16.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| François-Xavier MARQUES | RN and allies | 27,868 | 38.5 |
| Sophie METTE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,714 | 30.0 |
| Corinne MARTINEZ | Left (NFP) | 20,163 | 27.9 |
| Jean-Philippe DELCAMP | Far left | 1,368 | 1.9 |
| Sylvie MANTEL | RN and allies | 1,188 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 12ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Landes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated