Landes — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Landes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 93% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 15%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landes — 1ère circonscription | 41.0% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 5.6% |
| Provincial averageLandes | 39.0%+2.0 | 30.0%−3.8 | 20.6%+3.6 | 6.9%−1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+5.0 | 29.0%−2.8 | 17.0%+7.1 | 12.2%−6.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Geneviève DARRIEUSSECQ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 14.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Véronique FOSSEY | RN and allies | 28,138 | 37.2 |
| Geneviève DARRIEUSSECQ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,353 | 28.3 |
| Marie-Laure LAFARGUE | Left (NFP) | 20,466 | 27.1 |
| Fabienne CHRIT | LR and allies | 3,343 | 4.4 |
| Jean Claude BON | Far left | 852 | 1.1 |
| Dominique JARREAU | Centre (Ensemble) | 720 | 1.0 |
| Isabelle HENAFF | RN and allies | 700 | 0.9 |
| Degny Hermann AMESSAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 4 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Landes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Gironde — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Landes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated