Landes — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Landes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 69% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 49%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landes — 2ème circonscription | 36.5% | 27.5% | 25.0% | 6.5% |
| Provincial averageLandes | 39.0%−2.5 | 30.0%−2.4 | 20.6%+4.4 | 6.9%−0.3 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+0.5 | 29.0%−1.5 | 17.0%+8.0 | 12.2%−5.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Lionel CAUSSE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 9.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ludovic BIESBROUCK | RN and allies | 28,264 | 32.6 |
| Lionel CAUSSE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 26,051 | 30.1 |
| Jean-Marc LESPADE | Left (NFP) | 24,645 | 28.4 |
| Marc VERNIER | LR and allies | 4,625 | 5.3 |
| Dominique LECUONA | Others | 1,358 | 1.6 |
| Stéphane DAVID | RN and allies | 918 | 1.1 |
| Pascal DEMANGEOT | Far left | 839 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Landes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Landes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated