Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Atlantiques
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 18.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription | 51.7% | 33.0% | 10.8% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques | 34.2%+17.5 | 30.8%+2.1 | 13.8%−3.0 | 4.2%−1.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+22.6 | 36.0%−3.0 | 12.2%−1.4 | 3.9%−1.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
David HABIB · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 18.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| David HABIB Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,271 | 37.6 |
| Nicolas CRESSON | RN and allies | 18,670 | 31.6 |
| Joëlle LOSSON | Left (NFP) | 10,255 | 17.3 |
| Gilles MARDELLE | LR and allies | 5,998 | 10.1 |
| Kévin BRIOLAIS | Greens | 1,154 | 2.0 |
| Audric ARMAND MÈGE | Others | 475 | 0.8 |
| Antoine MISSIER | Far left | 358 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Landes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Hautes-Pyrénées — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Landes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated