Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Atlantiques
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 74% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.3 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 51%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | LR and allies | RN and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription | 35.3% | 33.0% | 27.2% | 3.8% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques | 34.2%+1.1 | 13.8%+19.2 | 30.8%−3.7 | 4.2%−0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+6.3 | 12.2%+20.8 | 36.0%−8.8 | 3.9%−0.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Iñaki ECHANIZ · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 2.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iñaki ECHANIZ Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,968 | 38.0 |
| Sylviane LOPEZ | RN and allies | 14,806 | 25.6 |
| Jean LASSALLE | LR and allies | 10,434 | 18.1 |
| Beñat CACHENAUT | LR and allies | 8,983 | 15.5 |
| Gracianne MIRANDE BEC | Others | 1,128 | 2.0 |
| Carlos RIBEIRO | Far left | 476 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Landes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Landes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated