Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Atlantiques
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 66% chance of winning.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 68%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 5ème circonscription | 31.6% | 31.6% | 21.7% | 7.2% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques | 34.2%−2.6 | 30.8%+0.7 | 15.1%+6.6 | 13.8%−6.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+2.5 | 36.0%−4.4 | 17.0%+4.7 | 12.2%−5.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Colette CAPDEVIELLE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 0.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colette CAPDEVIELLE Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,643 | 32.3 |
| Serge ROSSO | RN and allies | 19,308 | 27.5 |
| Florence LASSERRE | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,667 | 26.6 |
| Valérie CASTREC | LR and allies | 4,198 | 6.0 |
| Johanna GRATELOUP | Greens | 1,567 | 2.2 |
| Jean-Marie ERRAMUZPE | Others | 1,414 | 2.0 |
| Jean Claude LABADIE | Others | 1,010 | 1.4 |
| Alain CAYUELA | RN and allies | 671 | 1.0 |
| Philippe BARDANOUVE | Far left | 477 | 0.7 |
| Hélène SUSBIELLE | Others | 154 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Landes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Landes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated