Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Atlantiques
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 58% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.3 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 84%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription | 32.3% | 31.0% | 21.9% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques | 34.2%−1.9 | 30.8%+0.2 | 15.1%+6.8 | 13.8%−3.7 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+3.3 | 36.0%−5.0 | 17.0%+4.9 | 12.2%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Josy POUEYTO · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| François VERRIERE | RN and allies | 13,490 | 28.0 |
| Josy POUEYTO Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,939 | 26.8 |
| Jean-Yves LALANNE | Left (NFP) | 9,625 | 20.0 |
| Jean SANROMAN | Left (NFP) | 6,305 | 13.1 |
| Sandrine LAFARGUE | LR and allies | 4,304 | 8.9 |
| Jérémy ZEN | Greens | 1,215 | 2.5 |
| Agnès HEGOBURU | Far left | 366 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hautes-Pyrénées — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Landes — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Landes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated