Landes — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Landes
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 67% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 65%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landes — 3ème circonscription | 39.6% | 36.2% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Provincial averageLandes | 39.0%+0.6 | 30.0%+6.2 | 20.6%−8.0 | 6.9%+1.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+3.6 | 29.0%+7.1 | 17.0%−4.4 | 12.2%−3.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Boris VALLAUD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 3.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boris VALLAUD Elected | Left (NFP) | 26,235 | 37.1 |
| Sylvie FRANCESCHINI | RN and allies | 25,165 | 35.6 |
| Tom GILLET DUFFRECHOU | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,310 | 16.0 |
| Brice SAINT-CRICQ | LR and allies | 5,078 | 7.2 |
| Christelle LASSORT | Centre (Ensemble) | 1,141 | 1.6 |
| Christian DELFOSSE | RN and allies | 813 | 1.1 |
| Carole VOUTAZ | Far left | 513 | 0.7 |
| Matèu RICHARD | Others | 451 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Landes — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Landes — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated