Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Atlantiques
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 68% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 58%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 2ème circonscription | 34.2% | 25.8% | 24.7% | 8.9% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques | 30.8%+3.3 | 34.2%−8.4 | 15.1%+9.6 | 13.8%−4.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−1.8 | 29.0%−3.3 | 17.0%+7.6 | 12.2%−3.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Paul MATTEÏ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 8.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monique BECKER | RN and allies | 18,910 | 31.1 |
| Jean-Paul MATTEÏ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,972 | 29.6 |
| Julien BRUNEL | Left (NFP) | 16,083 | 26.5 |
| Marc LABAT | LR and allies | 4,647 | 7.7 |
| Jacques MAUHOURAT | Greens | 1,497 | 2.5 |
| Patrici CESCAU | Others | 1,079 | 1.8 |
| Cyrille MARCONI | Far left | 530 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hautes-Pyrénées — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hautes-Pyrénées — 1ère circonscription Others, competitive
- Gers — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated