Gironde — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Gironde
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 94% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 12%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gironde — 4ème circonscription | 41.4% | 35.2% | 12.3% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 32.7%+8.6 | 36.0%−0.8 | 24.0%−11.8 | 3.7%+4.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+12.4 | 36.0%−0.8 | 17.0%−4.8 | 12.2%−4.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Alain DAVID · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 6.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alain DAVID Elected | Left (NFP) | 27,092 | 42.4 |
| Julie RECHAGNEUX | RN and allies | 20,702 | 32.4 |
| Fabrice MORETTI | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,045 | 17.3 |
| Jérôme LAMBERT | LR and allies | 4,387 | 6.9 |
| Anne-Isabelle BRIVARY | Far left | 734 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Gironde — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Gironde — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 11ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gironde — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Gironde — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated