Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Deux-Sèvres
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the Greens a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 0.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 18%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Greens | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription | 38.0% | 37.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% |
| Provincial averageDeux-Sèvres | 34.9%+3.1 | 12.6%+25.1 | 24.0%−13.1 | 8.8%+1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.1 | 0.4%+37.3 | 17.0%−6.1 | 12.2%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Delphine BATHO · Greens
Previous election (2024)
The Greens won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the Greens ahead by 0.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delphine BATHO Elected | Greens | 25,435 | 38.6 |
| Mélody GARAULT | RN and allies | 22,500 | 34.1 |
| Frédéric BIZARD | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,536 | 16.0 |
| Emilie BAUDREZ | LR and allies | 6,107 | 9.3 |
| Guy BOURDON | RN and allies | 760 | 1.2 |
| Roger GORIZZUTTI | Far left | 607 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Vienne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Deux-Sèvres — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vienne — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vienne — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated