Deux-Sèvres — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Deux-Sèvres
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 72% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 55%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deux-Sèvres — 3ème circonscription | 38.1% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
| Provincial averageDeux-Sèvres | 34.9%+3.1 | 24.0%+2.0 | 16.7%+1.4 | 8.8%+5.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.1 | 17.0%+9.0 | 29.0%−10.9 | 12.2%+2.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Marie FIÉVET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe ROBIN | RN and allies | 19,585 | 35.2 |
| Jean-Marie FIÉVET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,310 | 31.1 |
| Juliette WOILLEZ | Left (NFP) | 10,533 | 18.9 |
| Mattieu MANCEAU | LR and allies | 7,491 | 13.5 |
| Maryse VALLÉE | Far left | 665 | 1.2 |
| Jacky DURAND | Left (NFP) | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Maine-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Deux-Sèvres — 2ème circonscription Greens, safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Vienne — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated