Maine-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Maine-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 17%.
Compared with the average
| Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription | 32.1% | 27.4% | 27.2% | 10.1% |
| Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire | 27.3%+4.8 | 24.5%+2.9 | 32.8%−5.7 | 11.1%−1.0 |
| National averageFrance | 17.0%+15.1 | 29.0%−1.6 | 36.0%−8.8 | 12.2%−2.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Stella DUPONT · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 4.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stella DUPONT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,761 | 33.1 |
| Léo METAYER | Left (NFP) | 18,621 | 28.3 |
| Thomas BRISSEAU | RN and allies | 15,945 | 24.3 |
| Benoît TRIOT | LR and allies | 5,864 | 8.9 |
| Bertrand SALQUAIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 2,719 | 4.1 |
| Philippe LEBRUN | Far left | 834 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Maine-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated