Maine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Maine-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 52% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.7 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 71%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription | 31.5% | 28.7% | 28.2% | 7.0% |
| Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire | 32.8%−1.4 | 27.3%+1.5 | 24.5%+3.6 | 11.1%−4.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−4.5 | 17.0%+11.7 | 29.0%−0.9 | 12.2%−5.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Philippe BOLO · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 2.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philippe BOLO Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,541 | 33.9 |
| Guillaume JOUANNEAU | Left (NFP) | 16,778 | 29.1 |
| Clémence LASCAUD | RN and allies | 15,802 | 27.4 |
| Sandrine BOULLAIS CHALLIER | LR and allies | 3,320 | 5.8 |
| Céline L'HUILLIER | Far left | 810 | 1.4 |
| Régis CRESPIN | Sovereignists | 750 | 1.3 |
| Valérie GORIOUX | RN and allies | 715 | 1.2 |
| Raphaël DE LA SALMONIERE | LR and allies | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Mayenne — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated