Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 67% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.3 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 52%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Sovereignists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription | 34.0% | 31.7% | 28.8% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique | 27.5%+6.6 | 37.4%−5.7 | 11.9%+16.9 | 0.7%+1.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−2.0 | 29.0%+2.7 | 12.2%+16.6 | 0.3%+1.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Claude RAUX · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 2.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Claude RAUX Elected | Left (NFP) | 26,919 | 34.2 |
| Julio PICHON | RN and allies | 25,886 | 32.8 |
| Alain HUNAULT | LR and allies | 22,993 | 29.2 |
| Fannie LEJAU | Sovereignists | 1,671 | 2.1 |
| Marie-Paule CATHELINE | Far left | 1,325 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire-Atlantique — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated