Loire-Atlantique — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 20.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire-Atlantique — 3ème circonscription | 43.6% | 23.3% | 19.5% | 7.5% |
| Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique | 37.4%+6.2 | 27.5%−4.1 | 18.6%+0.9 | 11.9%−4.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+14.6 | 36.0%−12.6 | 17.0%+2.5 | 12.2%−4.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Ségolène AMIOT · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 20.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ségolène AMIOT Elected | Left (NFP) | 29,285 | 44.6 |
| Matthieu ANNEREAU | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,135 | 24.6 |
| Laurie ARC | RN and allies | 13,425 | 20.4 |
| Sophie VAN GOETHEM | LR and allies | 4,143 | 6.3 |
| Gildas PERROT | Others | 1,896 | 2.9 |
| Hélène DOLIDON | Far left | 832 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire-Atlantique — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 9ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- Loire-Atlantique — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated