Loire-Atlantique — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 76% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.9 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 49%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire-Atlantique — 9ème circonscription | 35.1% | 32.3% | 24.4% | 3.1% |
| Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique | 27.5%+7.7 | 11.9%+20.3 | 37.4%−13.0 | 2.4%+0.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−0.8 | 12.2%+20.1 | 29.0%−4.6 | 3.9%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-Michel BRARD · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 2.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Michel BRARD Elected | LR and allies | 29,952 | 32.6 |
| Bastian MALDINEY | RN and allies | 29,841 | 32.5 |
| Hélène MACON | Left (NFP) | 24,197 | 26.4 |
| Annie LE GAL LA SALLE | Greens | 2,713 | 3.0 |
| Aurore PAPOT | Sovereignists | 1,636 | 1.8 |
| Laurent CHOMARD | RN and allies | 1,209 | 1.3 |
| Annie HERVO | Far left | 1,134 | 1.2 |
| Yannis BIZIEN | Others | 1,122 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire-Atlantique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vendée — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Loire-Atlantique — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated