Loire-Atlantique — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire-Atlantique — 2ème circonscription | 51.8% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 7.1% |
| Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique | 37.4%+14.4 | 18.6%+3.0 | 27.5%−10.7 | 11.9%−4.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+22.8 | 17.0%+4.6 | 36.0%−19.2 | 12.2%−5.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Andy KERBRAT · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 30.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy KERBRAT Elected | Left (NFP) | 34,341 | 51.7 |
| Valérie OPPELT | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,744 | 26.7 |
| Nolwenn FER | RN and allies | 9,157 | 13.8 |
| Louisa AMROUCHE | LR and allies | 3,893 | 5.9 |
| Adrien COPROS | Left (NFP) | 786 | 1.2 |
| Nicolas BAZILLE | Far left | 542 | 0.8 |
| Nicolas VABRE | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
| Zora CHIGNOLE | Others | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire-Atlantique — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Loire-Atlantique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 9ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated