Loire-Atlantique — 10ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 62% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.1 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 63%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire-Atlantique — 10ème circonscription | 30.2% | 29.0% | 25.5% | 11.0% |
| Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique | 37.4%−7.2 | 27.5%+1.6 | 18.6%+6.9 | 11.9%−0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+1.1 | 36.0%−6.9 | 17.0%+8.5 | 12.2%−1.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sophie ERRANTE · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 1.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie ERRANTE Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 27,555 | 30.6 |
| Maxime VIANCIN | Left (NFP) | 25,055 | 27.8 |
| Stéphanie COTREL | RN and allies | 23,574 | 26.2 |
| Xavier RINEAU | LR and allies | 8,889 | 9.9 |
| Bruno CHEVALIER | Left (NFP) | 2,947 | 3.3 |
| Jacques COUSIN | Sovereignists | 1,211 | 1.3 |
| Emmanuèle GARDAIR | Far left | 893 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire-Atlantique — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vendée — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Vendée — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated