Vendée — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vendée
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vendée — 4ème circonscription | 40.3% | 25.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% |
| Provincial averageVendée | 11.7%+28.6 | 36.2%−10.5 | 19.5%−1.9 | 28.6%−15.1 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+28.1 | 36.0%−10.2 | 29.0%−11.4 | 17.0%−3.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Véronique BESSE · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 14.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Véronique BESSE Elected | LR and allies | 28,086 | 39.3 |
| Jacques PROUX | RN and allies | 16,345 | 22.9 |
| Ilias NAGNONHOU | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,192 | 18.5 |
| Julie MARIEL-GODARD | Left (NFP) | 13,164 | 18.4 |
| Claude BOUR | Far left | 666 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Maine-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Loire-Atlantique — 10ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Vendée — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Vendée — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Vendée — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated