Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Maine-et-Loire

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 88% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 23%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 31.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 30.2%
  • Left (NFP) 23.9%
  • LR and allies 8.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Sovereignists 1.9%
  • Far left 1.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription 31.7%30.2%23.9%8.8%
Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire 32.8%−1.2 27.3%+2.9 24.5%−0.6 11.1%−2.2
National averageFrance 36.0%−4.3 17.0%+13.2 29.0%−5.1 12.2%−3.4

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Nicole DUBRE CHIRAT · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 1.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Nicole DUBRE CHIRAT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 23,776 35.3
Tim PAVAGEAU RN and allies 19,422 28.8
Sylvie GABIN Left (NFP) 16,707 24.8
Anaëlle CHAUSSIVERT LR and allies 5,142 7.6
Eric MERCIER Sovereignists 1,243 1.8
Yann LE DIAGON Far left 1,099 1.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated