Loire-Atlantique — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loire-Atlantique — 8ème circonscription | 44.1% | 31.7% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique | 37.4%+6.7 | 27.5%+4.3 | 18.6%−3.4 | 11.9%−6.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+15.1 | 36.0%−4.2 | 17.0%−1.8 | 12.2%−6.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Matthias TAVEL · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 12.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias TAVEL Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,317 | 31.0 |
| Gauthier BOUCHET | RN and allies | 17,065 | 28.9 |
| Audrey DUFEU | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,991 | 20.3 |
| Xavier PERRIN | Left (NFP) | 8,327 | 14.1 |
| Florence BEUVELET | LR and allies | 2,525 | 4.3 |
| Eddy LE BELLER | Far left | 890 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Loire-Atlantique — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 9ème circonscription LR and allies, competitive
- Loire-Atlantique — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Morbihan — 4ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Forecast updated