Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Loire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Loire-Atlantique

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 70% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.3 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 59%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 32.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 23.4%
  • Left (NFP) 23.3%
  • LR and allies 15.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Sovereignists 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Loire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription 32.7%23.4%23.3%15.2%
Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique 27.5%+5.3 18.6%+4.8 37.4%−14.2 11.9%+3.3
National averageFrance 36.0%−3.2 17.0%+6.4 29.0%−5.8 12.2%+3.0

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Sandrine JOSSO · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 9.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Sandrine JOSSO Elected Centre (Ensemble) 23,489 28.5
Michel HUNAULT RN and allies 23,210 28.2
Véronique MAHÉ Left (NFP) 19,881 24.1
Bertrand PLOUVIER LR and allies 11,610 14.1
Gaël BOURDEAU Sovereignists 1,595 1.9
Sophie CORBIN RN and allies 1,426 1.7
Marie-France BELIN Far left 1,228 1.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated