Ille-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ille-et-Vilaine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 78% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 44%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ille-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription | 35.2% | 31.2% | 19.0% | 10.0% |
| Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine | 27.7%+7.4 | 33.9%−2.7 | 24.3%−5.3 | 10.1%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−0.8 | 29.0%+2.2 | 17.0%+2.0 | 12.2%−2.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Mathilde HIGNET · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 4.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacques FRANÇOIS | RN and allies | 22,275 | 32.3 |
| Mathilde HIGNET Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,139 | 32.1 |
| Anne PATAULT | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,595 | 24.1 |
| Jeremy GILBERT | LR and allies | 6,103 | 8.8 |
| Sophie HUBERT | Sovereignists | 985 | 1.4 |
| Sandra CHIRAZI | Far left | 868 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Morbihan — 4ème circonscription Others, safe seat
- Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated