Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ille-et-Vilaine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 96% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 8%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription | 35.8% | 31.0% | 24.6% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine | 33.9%+2.0 | 27.7%+3.2 | 24.3%+0.3 | 10.1%−6.4 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+6.8 | 36.0%−5.0 | 17.0%+7.6 | 12.2%−8.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Claudia ROUAUX · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 4.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia ROUAUX Elected | Left (NFP) | 24,649 | 36.8 |
| Charlotte FAILLÉ | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,919 | 29.7 |
| Virginie D'ORSANNE | RN and allies | 18,850 | 28.1 |
| Victor ROULET | LR and allies | 1,688 | 2.5 |
| Mathieu GUIHARD | Others | 1,132 | 1.7 |
| Jean-Louis AMISSE | Far left | 802 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 7ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Côtes-d'Armor — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), competitive
- Forecast updated