Ille-et-Vilaine — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ille-et-Vilaine
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ille-et-Vilaine — 2ème circonscription | 39.4% | 29.2% | 20.4% | 8.1% |
| Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine | 33.9%+5.5 | 24.3%+4.8 | 27.7%−7.4 | 10.1%−2.0 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+10.4 | 17.0%+12.2 | 36.0%−15.6 | 12.2%−4.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Tristan LAHAIS · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 10.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan LAHAIS Elected | Left (NFP) | 30,361 | 40.3 |
| Laurence MAILLART-MÉHAIGNERIE | Centre (Ensemble) | 25,792 | 34.2 |
| Bérénice VANHAECKE | RN and allies | 13,130 | 17.4 |
| Christophe DECOURCELLE | LR and allies | 5,218 | 6.9 |
| Florence DEFRANCE | Far left | 746 | 1.0 |
| Olivier HANNE | Greens | 71 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 7ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Ille-et-Vilaine — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated