Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Ille-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Ille-et-Vilaine

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 37.3%
  • RN and allies 33.8%
  • Left (NFP) 24.5%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 1.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) Others
Ille-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription 37.3%33.8%24.5%2.0%
Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine 24.3%+12.9 27.7%+6.1 33.9%−9.4 2.5%−0.5
National averageFrance 17.0%+20.3 36.0%−2.2 29.0%−4.6 3.9%−1.9

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Thierry BENOIT · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 3.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Thierry BENOIT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 26,968 41.8
Tangi MARION RN and allies 19,960 30.9
Elsa LAFAYE Left (NFP) 16,209 25.1
Ludovic HUBERT Far left 839 1.3
Pascal THEVENET Centre (Ensemble) 402 0.6
Gilliatt DE STAËRCK Left (NFP) 131 0.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated